The most affordable time to travel to popular destinations

Every year I watch people fixate on which destination is cheapest, when the bigger lever is almost always when they go, not where.

The same city can be a genuinely different trip, and a genuinely different price, a few weeks either side of its peak.

I've spent years timing trips around this exact pattern rather than chasing whichever destination happens to be trending as affordable that year.

Here is why shoulder season works, and how to find it for almost anywhere.

  • My Travel Tip: Why shoulder season saves you real money

It isn't a trick; it's simple supply and demand. Crowds thin out once school holidays end, airlines and hotels start discounting to keep seats and rooms filled, and the weather is usually still genuinely good, just not the single best week of the year.


None of that depends on a specific destination or a lucky report, it's a pattern you can apply almost anywhere, and it's worth understanding once rather than relearning for every trip.

a quiet European square in soft shoulder-season light

Destination examples

Some destinations offer much better value outside their busiest weeks. I've focused on places where changing your timing can meaningfully affect the price or experience, rather than assuming shoulder season works equally well everywhere.

Affordable travel times at a glance

Destination

Best-value time to consider

Main trade-off

Nice, France

May–June and September–October

Cooler than peak summer, especially for swimming

Reykjavik, Iceland

May and September–October

More changeable weather and shorter days later in autumn

Sydney, Australia

March–May and September–November

Less reliable beach weather than midsummer

Dubai, UAE

October–November and March–April

Hotter than the winter peak

Aspen, USA

May–June and September–October

Outside ski season, with some seasonal closures possible

Bali, Indonesia

April–May and September–October

Some rain is possible around the wet-season transition

Portugal

April–June and September–October

Sea temperatures can be cooler outside summer

Riviera Maya & Yucatan, Mexico

May and November

Greater chance of rain than during the winter peak

These aren't necessarily the absolute cheapest months of the year. They're the periods I'd consider when trying to balance lower prices with weather and conditions that still make the trip worthwhile.

Nice, France

Nice is one of my favourite examples of how much difference a few weeks can make. Visit in July or August and you're competing for beach space while paying some of the highest accommodation rates of the year.

Move the trip to late spring or early autumn and the French Riviera feels considerably calmer.

I don't think you're sacrificing much either. The weather can still be beautiful, restaurants around the old town are easier to enjoy without peak-season crowds, and finding somewhere to put your towel on the beach stops feeling like a competitive sport.

Nice's Promenade des Anglais in soft afternoon light, uncrowded

Reykjavik, Iceland

Iceland's summer peak is short and intense, so travelling either side of it can make a noticeable difference to both crowds and prices.

I've particularly enjoyed Iceland during these in-between periods.

The major sights and Ring Road viewpoints feel calmer without the constant procession of tour buses and rental cars. Just don't choose shoulder season expecting predictable weather. Iceland rarely offers that bargain.

One important distinction is timing. May gives you very long days for exploring, while September and October bring darker nights and a better chance of seeing the northern lights.

Reykjavik cityscape with Hallgrímskirkja and the coast

Sydney, Australia

Sydney gets particularly busy during the Australian summer and school holidays, when accommodation prices rise and many of the city's most popular spots fill up.

I'd happily trade peak summer for autumn or spring here. The temperatures are generally comfortable for coastal walks, harbour ferries, sightseeing, and eating outside, while accommodation and restaurant reservations can be easier to find.

The main compromise is that you won't have the same guarantee of hot beach weather that you would in midsummer.

Sydney Harbour, Harbour Bridge and skyline

Dubai, UAE

Dubai works a little differently from most destinations on this list. Summer can be extremely cheap by Dubai standards, but there's an obvious reason for that: the heat can make spending much time outdoors uncomfortable.

For better value without making that compromise, I'd look at the edges of the cooler winter season.

October to November and March to April can offer a better balance between price and weather, while still allowing plenty of time for pools, beaches, desert trips, and outdoor sightseeing.

Downtown Dubai skyline with Burj Khalifa

Aspen, Colorado

Aspen's biggest price premium comes with ski season, so visiting outside winter can dramatically change the cost of a trip.

The trade-off here is more significant than with most destinations on this list: you're not going skiing.

But if you're interested in the mountains rather than the slopes, late spring, early summer, and early autumn open up hiking, wildflowers, and mountain scenery without peak winter prices.

Check what's operating before booking, though, as some businesses and mountain activities close temporarily between the main winter and summer seasons.

Maroon Lake Maroon Bells mountain scenery

Bali, Indonesia

Bali shows that shoulder-season travel isn't only useful for expensive destinations. The island can already offer excellent value, but prices and visitor numbers still rise during the middle of the year and around the December holiday period.

I prefer looking just outside those busiest windows. Places such as Ubud can feel noticeably calmer, popular beaches are less crowded, and accommodation can offer better value.

You may encounter some rain depending on exactly when you visit, but that can be a reasonable trade-off for avoiding Bali at its busiest.

Tegallalang terraces north of Ubud

Portugal

Portugal is already one of the better-value destinations in Western Europe, and travelling outside July and August can stretch your budget further.

Spring and early autumn are particularly appealing to me because Lisbon is easier to explore without the peak heat and crowds, while the Algarve can still deliver plenty of warm, sunny days.

The Atlantic may feel cooler outside summer, but quieter beaches and lower accommodation prices can more than compensate.

Historic Alfama district, including São Vicente de Fora and the National Pantheon

Mexico's Riviera Maya and Yucatan

Mexico's Caribbean coast gets particularly busy around the winter holidays, when travellers from North America and Europe arrive in large numbers. Moving outside that peak can reduce both crowds and accommodation costs.

I think the biggest improvement is often away from the resort itself. Cenotes and Maya sites are far more enjoyable when they're not packed with visitors, and the coast still delivers much of the same experience.

May and November can be useful months to investigate, but weather is the important trade-off here. Rain and tropical storms are more of a consideration outside the dry winter peak, so I'd check conditions carefully before choosing exact dates.

Tulum Maya ruins overlooking the Caribbean

How to find the shoulder season for anywhere

You can apply the same approach to almost any destination. Before choosing your dates:

  • Check school holiday calendars. Look at holidays in the destination itself as well as countries that send large numbers of visitors there, as these can have a big effect on crowds and prices.
  • Compare historical weather. Look at average temperatures and rainfall a few weeks either side of peak season. You may find the weather barely changes while prices do.
  • Compare several sets of dates. Check flights and accommodation across a few different weeks rather than assuming an entire month or season will be equally affordable.
  • Look for major events and festivals. A festival, sporting event, conference, or public holiday can push prices up even during an otherwise quiet period.
  • Check what's actually open. In highly seasonal destinations, some tours, restaurants, transport routes, and attractions may reduce their hours or close between peak seasons.

You don't need to spend hours researching this. Comparing a few dates, checking the weather, and looking at the local calendar can quickly reveal the window where lower prices, smaller crowds, and good conditions overlap.


Time your next trip for real value

Shoulder season isn't a one-off deal from an old report, it's a repeatable strategy you can apply to almost any destination on your list.

Once you start looking at trips this way, destination and timing stop being two separate decisions and start feeling like one, and that shift alone tends to lead to better trips, not just cheaper ones.

Working out exactly which weeks deliver the best version of that trade-off for a specific destination is exactly the kind of research our personalised travel planning service handles. Tell us where you want to go and we'll help you time it properly.


Frequently asked questions

How far in advance should you book to get shoulder season prices?

A few months ahead is generally enough, since shoulder season doesn't sell out the way peak weeks do. Booking too last-minute can still mean missing the best rates.

Is shoulder season different for flights versus accommodation?

Yes, accommodation prices tend to swing more dramatically with the seasons than flights do. Hotel and rental rates are usually where the biggest shoulder-season savings show up.

What day of the week is usually cheapest to fly?

There isn't one day that's consistently cheapest for every route, so compare fares across several departure and return dates rather than relying on a fixed Tuesday or Wednesday rule.

Are hotels cheaper if you travel during the week?

Often, but it depends on the destination. Leisure destinations may be cheaper on weekdays, while business-focused cities can sometimes offer better hotel rates at weekends.

Is it cheaper to book a holiday early or wait for a last-minute deal?

Booking early generally gives you more choice and predictable pricing, while last-minute deals are less reliable and work best if you're flexible about your dates and destination.

Andres Serra

Head of Operations

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Born in Argentina, raised in Spain, and shaped by six years in Australia and a stint living in the Costa Rican jungle, I've explored 40+ countries and counting. When I'm not working on the next Optimise Travel project, you'll find me on a football pitch, a tennis court, or planning my next adventure.

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